trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 52% | 52% | -13.5% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 52% | 52% | -13.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 52% | 52% | -13.5% |
| all | 21 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 52% | 52% | -13.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.3% | 52% | -13.5% |
| 10% | -15.3% | 52% | -21.8% |
| 15% | -23.5% | 38% | -29.3% |
| 20% | -31.0% | 33% | -36.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 90¢ | $150 | $164 | +$14 (+9%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | No | 32¢ | 74¢ | $25 | $57 | +$32 (+128%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 64¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 56¢ | 57¢ | $33 | $34 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 63¢ | 73¢ | $26 | $30 | +$4 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $105 | +$34 | +32% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $32 | −$4 | -11% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $37 | −$16 | -44% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $33 | +$23 | +70% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $65 | +$36 | +56% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $114 | +$35 | +31% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $37 | −$26 | -69% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $75 | +$25 | +32% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $37 | +$24 | +64% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $53 | +$60 | +113% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $38 | −$15 | -40% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $52 | +$22 | +42% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $26 | +$36 | +136% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $11 | +$18 | +170% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $29 | −$21 | -70% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 15 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 15 | $222 | −$222 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $72 | +$45 | +63% |