Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf956…0ff2
sports · 6 markets active 118d ago
0.5score
+$68,643 +410%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$68,643 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$68,643
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses10 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 6
Avg bet$2,793
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21,961
7 days+$21,961
14 days+$21,961
30 days+$21,961
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day? No 1¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.2B and $4.6B at market close on IPO day? Yes -12¢ 0¢ $-4,392 $0 +$4,392 (-100%)
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $3.8B and $4.2B at market close on IPO day? Yes -12¢ 0¢ $-4,392 $0 +$4,392 (-100%)
Will SOLV Energy, Inc. not IPO before April 2026? Yes -12¢ 0¢ $-4,392 $0 +$4,392 (-100%)
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $5.0B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day? Yes -12¢ 0¢ $-4,392 $0 +$4,392 (-100%)
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day? Yes -12¢ 0¢ $-4,392 $0 +$4,392 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.2B and $4.6B at mark Jun 12 $-4,392 +$4,392 —%
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $3.8B and $4.2B at mark Jun 12 $-4,392 +$4,392 —%
Will SOLV Energy, Inc. not IPO before April 2026? Jun 12 $-4,392 +$4,392 —%
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $5.0B and $5.4B at mark Jun 12 $-4,392 +$4,392 —%
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at mark Jun 12 $-4,392 +$4,392 —%
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive (BO3) - EBL Regular Season Feb 14 $2 +$16 +880%
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive - Game 2 Winner Feb 14 $11 +$104 +903%
Game Handicap: B5 (-1.5) vs SPIKE Syndicate (+1.5) Feb 14 $135 +$269 +199%
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive - Game 1 Winner Feb 14 $150 +$895 +598%
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl Feb 12 $1,166 +$59,636 +5115%
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close Feb 12 $15,296 −$14,238 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% +$45,398
sports 2% +$1,285
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive - Game 1 Winner BUY BeFive 3¢ $1 118d
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive (BO3) - EBL Regular Season BUY SPIKE Syndicate 5¢ $2 118d
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive (BO3) - EBL Regular Season BUY SPIKE Syndicate 5¢ $0 118d
Game Handicap: B5 (-1.5) vs SPIKE Syndicate (+1.5) BUY BeFive 17¢ $135 118d
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive - Game 2 Winner BUY SPIKE Syndicate 5¢ $11 118d
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive - Game 1 Winner BUY BeFive 7¢ $149 118d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 5¢ $50 119d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 5¢ $5 119d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 5¢ $1 119d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 5¢ $30 119d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 5¢ $122 119d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 65¢ $2,534 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 65¢ $2 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 65¢ $2 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 65¢ $48 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 65¢ $3 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 65¢ $6 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 65¢ $1 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 65¢ $2,945 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 63¢ $4,399 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close BUY No 43¢ $3,727 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 55¢ $2,976 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 56¢ $10,142 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close BUY No 44¢ $285 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close BUY No 43¢ $2,541 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl SELL No 68¢ $287 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close BUY No 33¢ $268 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close BUY No 33¢ $233 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close BUY No 33¢ $106 120d
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close BUY No 49¢ $706 120d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +83%
net ROI/market (all)+667.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 6 +747.9% +667.2% 83% 83% -59.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +667.2% 83% -59.1%
10% ← realistic here +593.8% 83% -63.0%
15% +526.7% 83% -66.6%
20% +465.3% 83% -69.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 78 history records