trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -2.6% | -11.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 29 | $1,395 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 29 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 29 | $1,440 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 29 | $1,286 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 28 | $1,437 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $1,497 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Jun 28 | $1,308 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 18 | $222 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | Apr 17 | $16 | −$1 | -9% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Apr 17 | $4 | −$1 | -24% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 16 | $223 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $7 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Apr 13 | $216 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 03 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Apr 03 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Con | Apr 03 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 30 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 30 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 30 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 25 | $193 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | Mar 25 | $25 | $0 | -0% |