Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:43:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf95f…d116
crypto · 1030 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$910 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$403 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$403
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses694 / 336
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1030 / 1030
History coverage16d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day212.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1030 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days−$142
14 days−$392
30 days−$403
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$403
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $8 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $9 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 -6.1% -15.1% 72% 45% -16.5%
≤30d 1030 -4.0% -13.2% 67% 55% -14.1%
≤90d 1030 -4.0% -13.2% 67% 55% -14.1%
all 1030 -4.0% -13.2% 67% 55% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover212.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 55% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 31% -22.3%
15% -29.1% 14% -29.8%
20% -36.0% 4% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records