Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:23:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf960…ba50
weather · 1414 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$352 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$354 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,270
Realized−$354
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1230 / 112
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions71
Markets (closed)1342 / 1414
History coverage36d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day93.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 71 History 1342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$24
14 days+$17
30 days−$304
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 95¢ 99¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 12? No 96¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? No 92¢ 94¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? No 97¢ 98¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June 12? No 98¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 98¢ 98¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12? No 98¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13? No 98¢ 98¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? No 98¢ 98¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? No 97¢ 97¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 +$2 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June Jun 12 $23 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $22 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $22 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 11 Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11? Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78°F or higher on June 11? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 11? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on Jun 11 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 11 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $23 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12? Jun 11 $22 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 88% −$184
world 4% +$22
sports 2% +$17
politics 2% −$232
other 2% +$1
culture 1% +$26
crypto 1% +$1
tech 0% −$4
economics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $7 6m
Spread: OC Safi (-1.5) BUY Kawkab AC 82¢ $6 9m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $23 16m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $17 17m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6 18m
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 84¢ $6 22m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 34m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $23 35m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 46m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $23 47m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 56m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $15 57m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 57m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $18 58m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $20 58m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $16 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 98¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $23 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 605 +0.2% -9.4% 97% 3% -9.3%
≤30d 1265 -0.3% -9.8% 91% 2% -10.6%
≤90d 1342 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 2% -10.5%
all 1342 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 2% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 2% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -19.1%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.9%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,269.70 · official $1,269.70 (match) · 3500 history records