Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:22:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf961…34dd
crypto · 842 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$5,909 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,919 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,077
Realized−$5,919
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses713 / 244
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions48
Markets (closed)957 / 842
History coverage28d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day98.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 48 History 957 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,152
7 days−$5,020
14 days−$5,346
30 days−$5,919
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 88¢ 100¢ $50 $57 +$7 (+14%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 96¢ 99¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+3%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 95¢ 97¢ $47 $49 +$1 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 94¢ 87¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-8%)
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 95¢ 100¢ $43 $45 +$2 (+5%)
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? No 98¢ 100¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 89¢ 98¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 92¢ 92¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 97¢ 97¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)? No 98¢ 98¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 87¢ 86¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 97¢ 93¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $25 $28 +$3 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $25 $27 +$2 (+7%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? No 91¢ 99¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+9%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? No 96¢ 99¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? No 90¢ 98¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Sta Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 13? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 22? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8? Jun 12 $15 −$30 -201%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$102 -200%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 18? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$20 -200%
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Solana reach $85 on April 7? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$20 -200%
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21? Jun 12 $20 −$40 -200%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Kings vs. Raptors Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Nets vs. Pistons Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 5? Jun 12 $60 −$120 -200%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Jun 12 $50 −$100 -200%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs Jun 12 $10 −$20 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Jun 12 $30 −$60 -200%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 16? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 29? Jun 12 $20 −$40 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 7? Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$560
other 19% −$29
sports 16% −$114
world 5% −$78
politics 2% +$26
culture 1% $0
tech 1% +$4
weather 0% +$2
finance 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? BUY No 99¢ $3 1h
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 93¢ $5 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 89¢ $5 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 89¢ $5 1h
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 87¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 2h
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 2h
Will Barron Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 87¢ $5 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 87¢ $5 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $5 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $5 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $5 3h
Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will Barron Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 87¢ $5 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 87¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 -47.8% -52.7% 49% 7% -49.5%
≤30d 957 -19.3% -27.0% 75% 10% -24.9%
≤90d 957 -19.3% -27.0% 75% 10% -24.9%
all 957 -19.3% -27.0% 75% 10% -24.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.0% 10% -24.9%
10% ← realistic here -34.0% 0% -32.1%
15% -40.4% 0% -38.6%
20% -46.2% 0% -44.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,076.75 · official $1,077.06 (match) · 3500 history records