Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:30:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf96c…4341
crypto · 398 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$39 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses313 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)398 / 398
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 398 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$56
14 days−$29
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +228%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +78%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 271 -6.2% -15.2% 75% 75% -13.5%
≤30d 398 -3.1% -12.3% 79% 78% -11.4%
≤90d 398 -3.1% -12.3% 79% 78% -11.4%
all 398 -3.1% -12.3% 79% 78% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 78% -11.4%
10% -20.7% 4% -19.8%
15% -28.4% 2% -27.6%
20% -35.4% 2% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 713 history records