Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T23:07:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf96d…20be sports 312 markets active 2h ago coverage 65d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$4,439 (-23%) realized −$4,439 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -31% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate23%71W / 242L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$63per market
Trades / day8.4pace
Fees−$655est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$410
7 days−$442
14 days−$593
30 days−$801
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$4,972
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-37.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -38.2% -44.1% 21% 21% -51.6%
≤30d 41 -46.9% -52.0% 20% 20% -46.6%
≤90d 313 -31.3% -37.8% 23% 22% -33.6%
all 313 -31.3% -37.8% 23% 22% -33.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.8% 22% -33.6%
10% -43.8% 20% -39.9%
15% -49.2% 18% -45.7%
20% -54.2% 17% -51.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -31% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -25% → late -37% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$94 vs −$48 · ×1.95 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,439
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses71 / 242
Est. fees paid−$655
Open positions0
Markets (closed)313 / 312
History coverage65d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 313 Trades
no open positions (212 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Irvine: Theadora Rabman vs Monika Ekstrand Jun 19 $26 −$26 -98%
ITF Luque: Romina Ccuno vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele Jun 19 $34 −$33 -98%
ITF Luque: Antonia Rivera vs Josefina Estevez Jun 19 $103 −$100 -97%
ITF Irvine: Isabella Marton vs Alina Shcherbinina Jun 19 $128 −$125 -97%
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 19 $49 +$216 +442%
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Luisina Giovannini Jun 19 $62 −$60 -97%
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon Jun 19 $110 −$107 -98%
ITF Dinard: Antonia Stoyanov vs Franziska Sziedat Jun 19 $67 −$65 -98%
ITF Mohammedia: Daria Egorova vs Diae El Jardi Jun 19 $171 +$55 +32%
ITF Dinard: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Lisa Claeys Jun 19 $98 +$30 +31%
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Facundo Acosta Jun 19 $120 −$117 -98%
ITF Klosters: Dylan Dietrich vs Adrien Burdet Jun 19 $77 −$75 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman Jun 14 $33 −$32 -97%
ITF Tokyo: Jumpei Yamasaki vs Jangjun Kim Jun 12 $32 −$31 -98%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $27 +$4 +16%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia Jun 11 $11 −$11 -97%
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria Jun 11 $22 +$10 +43%
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mustapha El Natour Jun 11 $28 −$27 -97%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 11 $38 −$10 -27%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $46 −$8 -18%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $20 −$19 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $38 −$37 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkova May 29 $29 −$28 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek May 29 $10 −$10 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic May 29 $29 −$18 -64%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov May 22 $20 −$20 -98%
ITF Kutaisi: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Kevin Edengren May 22 $129 −$126 -98%
ITF Maringa: Ezequiel Monferrer vs Nicolas Zanellato May 21 $51 +$78 +152%
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik May 21 $60 −$8 -14%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaur May 21 $139 −$137 -98%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbaj May 21 $80 +$179 +223%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez May 21 $21 −$20 -98%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mary Stoiana May 21 $24 −$23 -98%
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier May 21 $27 −$26 -98%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sinja Kraus vs Anna-Lena Friedsam May 21 $25 −$24 -98%
Istanbul: Alafia Ayeni vs Franco Agamenone May 21 $24 −$23 -97%
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray May 21 $35 +$35 +99%
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Alex Hernandez May 21 $11 −$11 -98%
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Ognjen Milic May 21 $25 −$25 -98%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Francisca Jorge May 20 $34 −$34 -98%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar May 20 $14 −$14 -98%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill May 20 $30 −$16 -52%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar May 20 $53 −$3 -5%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Colton Smith May 20 $25 +$32 +128%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodi May 20 $8 −$8 -97%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud May 20 $23 −$16 -67%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Panna Udvardy May 20 $23 −$22 -97%
Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Gabi Boitan May 20 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Irvine: Theadora Rabman vs Monika Ekstrand BUY Theadora Rabman 29¢ $26 1h
ITF Luque: Romina Ccuno vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele BUY Romina Ccuno 31¢ $34 4h
ITF Luque: Antonia Rivera vs Josefina Estevez BUY Josefina Estevez $103 4h
ITF Irvine: Isabella Marton vs Alina Shcherbinina BUY Isabella Marton 12¢ $128 4h
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev BUY Daniel Altmaier 18¢ $49 8h
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Luisina Giovannini BUY Luisina Giovannini $62 8h
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon BUY Raphael Collignon 18¢ $110 9h
ITF Dinard: Antonia Stoyanov vs Franziska Sziedat BUY Franziska Sziedat 17¢ $67 10h
ITF Mohammedia: Daria Egorova vs Diae El Jardi BUY Diae El Jardi 22¢ $61 10h
ITF Dinard: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Lisa Claeys SELL Lisa Claeys 45¢ $128 10h
ITF Dinard: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Lisa Claeys BUY Lisa Claeys 33¢ $98 11h
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Facundo Acosta BUY Michele Ribecai 31¢ $115 11h
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Facundo Acosta BUY Michele Ribecai 28¢ $5 11h
ITF Mohammedia: Daria Egorova vs Diae El Jardi SELL Diae El Jardi 38¢ $40 11h
ITF Mohammedia: Daria Egorova vs Diae El Jardi SELL Diae El Jardi 44¢ $178 11h
ITF Mohammedia: Daria Egorova vs Diae El Jardi BUY Diae El Jardi 21¢ $90 12h
ITF Mohammedia: Daria Egorova vs Diae El Jardi BUY Diae El Jardi 19¢ $19 12h
ITF Klosters: Dylan Dietrich vs Adrien Burdet BUY Adrien Burdet 26¢ $17 14h
ITF Klosters: Dylan Dietrich vs Adrien Burdet BUY Adrien Burdet 26¢ $60 14h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Hannah Klugman $33 5d
ITF Tokyo: Jumpei Yamasaki vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jumpei Yamasaki 22¢ $32 7d
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez SELL Thiago Cigarran 24¢ $32 8d
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Thiago Cigarran 20¢ $22 8d
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Thiago Cigarran 20¢ $5 8d
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Arklon Del Pino BUY Arklon Del Pino 21¢ $20 8d
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia BUY Samuel De Felipe Garcia $11 8d
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria SELL Manel Lazaro Juncadella 18¢ $31 8d
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria BUY Manel Lazaro Juncadella 12¢ $22 8d
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mustapha El Natour BUY Mustapha El Natour 10¢ $28 8d
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 10¢ $28 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 551 history records