Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:49:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf979…8492
crypto · 1615 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$158 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$158 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$158
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1357 / 257
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1614 / 1615
History coverage13d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day144.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1614 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days+$43
14 days−$158
30 days−$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $30 −$60 -198%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +129%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$6 +236%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$105
sports 1% +$8
other 0% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1117 +0.8% -8.8% 88% 22% -8.7%
≤30d 1614 -3.4% -12.6% 84% 20% -10.1%
≤90d 1614 -3.4% -12.6% 84% 20% -10.1%
all 1614 -3.4% -12.6% 84% 20% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover144.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 20% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 12% -18.7%
15% -28.6% 7% -26.6%
20% -35.6% 5% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records