trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -3.0% | -12.2% | 71% | 57% | -4.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 82% | 55% | -2.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 82% | 55% | -2.2% |
| all | 21 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 57% | 33% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 33% | -6.3% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 19% | -15.3% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 14% | -23.5% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 10% | -31.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Over | 83¢ | 84¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $8 | +$2 | +21% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$2 | +28% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -75% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$3 | -30% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 10 | $17 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | May 24 | $2 | +$1 | +59% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 8? | Jan 08 | $9 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 | Jan 06 | $6 | +$6 | +94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | Jan 05 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | Jan 05 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January? | Jan 05 | $2 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4? | Jan 05 | $8 | −$7 | -82% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 05 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Jan 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 11.5 | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | -13% |