Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf99e…bde6
sports · 455 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,585 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,568 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$1,568
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses241 / 214
Est. fees paid−$535
Open positions5
Markets (closed)455 / 455
History coverage48d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day72.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 455 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$194
7 days−$249
14 days−$391
30 days−$725
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 44¢ 56¢ $17 $23 +$5 (+30%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 33¢ 32¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 40¢ 44¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+9%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 41¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Yes 54¢ 38¢ $5 $4 −$2 (-31%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner Ursa 90¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 70¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs Monte 27¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Lynn Vision 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs NIP 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner 100 Thieves 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner TYLOO 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner magic 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte (BO3) - BC Game Masters Champion Jun 12 $24 −$19 -78%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $181 −$181 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $78 +$22 +28%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $120 −$23 -19%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $69 +$19 +28%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $88 +$36 +41%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 −$7 -14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$6 +25%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $49 +$19 +38%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $53 −$44 -83%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $81 +$18 +22%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 +$6 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $106 +$25 +24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$32 -63%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $80 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $160 −$49 -30%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $73 +$3 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $64 +$6 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $150 −$9 -6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $92 −$28 -30%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$5 +36%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 +$2 +30%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $84 −$7 -9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $49 +$12 +25%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $25 +$15 +58%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $28 +$8 +30%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $23 +$7 +29%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $38 +$19 +51%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $47 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $66 +$8 +13%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $36 +$9 +25%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $43 −$3 -8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $68 +$5 +7%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $91 −$4 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$3 -26%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $52 +$8 +16%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $27 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $114 +$6 +5%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $35 −$14 -41%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $48 +$14 +28%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $44 −$19 -42%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $66 +$6 +9%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $178 −$42 -23%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $68 +$20 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,350
other 0% +$20
world 0% −$6
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 40¢ $1 3m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 40¢ $4 3m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $90 6m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 97¢ $29 7m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 9¢ $3 11m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $17 33m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $40 33m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 25¢ $10 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 65¢ $33 47m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 71¢ $29 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $13 51m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 60¢ $59 52m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 22¢ $4 52m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 66¢ $27 53m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 37¢ $7 59m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 37¢ $1 59m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 79¢ $61 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 79¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 79¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 79¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 21¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 45¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $70 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 60¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 52¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 52¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 52¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 82¢ $57 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -14.6% -22.7% 51% 37% -9.6%
≤30d 263 -6.9% -15.8% 54% 35% -11.5%
≤90d 455 -8.3% -17.0% 53% 35% -11.9%
all 455 -8.3% -17.0% 53% 35% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 35% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 24% -20.3%
15% -32.2% 13% -28.0%
20% -38.8% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.18 · official $43.83 · 3500 history records