Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:24:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9a0…6e74
sports · 870 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$293 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$245 · open −$47
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$595
Realized−$245
Unrealized−$47
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses696 / 183
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions21
Markets (closed)879 / 870
History coverage11d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day240.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 21 History 879 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$199
7 days−$233
14 days−$245
30 days−$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 77¢ 100¢ $115 $150 +$35 (+30%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Haiti 80¢ 86¢ $108 $116 +$8 (+7%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 83¢ 86¢ $58 $60 +$2 (+3%)
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Scotland 95¢ 99¢ $41 $43 +$2 (+5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 80¢ $42 $43 +$1 (+3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 94¢ 94¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-0%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 72¢ $36 $35 −$0 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 89¢ 61¢ $25 $17 −$8 (-32%)
Scotland leading at halftime? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+7%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 74¢ 74¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 94¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+13%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 75¢ 76¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Over 93¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+7%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 86¢ 80¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-8%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Under 96¢ 99¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 73¢ 62¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-16%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 78¢ 81¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Chicago Cubs 80¢ 79¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) San Francisco Giants 72¢ 72¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 78¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 81¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 72¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Under 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 80¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 80¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Jun 14 $63 −$67 -106%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-01? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
O'Higgins FC vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will National Bank of Egypt Club vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary end in Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Prostejov: Yosuke Watanuki vs Pedro Boscardin Dias Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Kataller Toyama vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $277 +$61 +22%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $273 +$80 +29%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $33 +$4 +13%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $22 +$2 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $28 +$6 +21%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $130 −$21 -16%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $38 +$4 +10%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $65 +$14 +21%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $21 +$5 +22%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $14 +$2 +13%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$242
other 21% +$162
world 0% −$1
crypto 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $6 0m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 0m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $2 0m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $6 1m
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 72¢ $2 1m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $4 2m
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 80¢ $3 6m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $5 6m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $5 7m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 76¢ $1 8m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $2 17m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 86¢ $2 17m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 94¢ $1 20m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 94¢ $4 20m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 74¢ $9 22m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 77¢ $3 25m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 75¢ $3 31m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 31m
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 38m
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 95¢ $11 38m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $1 38m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 93¢ $3 43m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 73¢ $3 44m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $1 46m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 82¢ $3 46m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 82¢ $2 46m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 83¢ $3 46m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 86¢ $5 51m
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 87¢ $4 52m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 87¢ $2 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 529 -4.7% -13.7% 78% 52% -13.1%
≤30d 879 -2.9% -12.1% 79% 53% -12.2%
≤90d 879 -2.9% -12.1% 79% 53% -12.2%
all 879 -2.9% -12.1% 79% 53% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover240.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 53% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 26% -20.6%
15% -28.2% 6% -28.3%
20% -35.3% 1% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $595.13 · official $595.14 (match) · 3500 history records