trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +18.2% | +6.9% | 86% | 86% | +25.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +23.6% | +11.8% | 89% | 89% | +26.0% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +21.2% | +9.7% | 90% | 80% | +18.9% |
| all | 71 | -16.4% | -24.4% | 55% | 45% | -32.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.4% | 45% | -32.5% |
| 10% | -31.6% | 34% | -38.9% |
| 15% | -38.2% | 27% | -44.8% |
| 20% | -44.3% | 24% | -50.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | $4,773 | $5,476 | +$702 (+15%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $4,483 | $3,901 | −$582 (-13%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 13¢ | $3,261 | $3,503 | +$242 (+7%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $2,830 | $3,312 | +$482 (+17%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $2,739 | $2,047 | −$692 (-25%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $86 | +$36 (+72%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $406 | +$335 | +83% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $50 | +$6 | +12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$63 | +62% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$33 | +32% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $152 | +$21 | +14% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $40 | +$18 | +44% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $25 | +$10 | +42% |
| Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st? | Apr 14 | $250 | +$1 | +0% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | Jan 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Bulls (-2.5) | Jan 28 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Jan 28 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | Jan 28 | $2 | +$2 | +104% |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | Jan 28 | $16 | +$16 | +100% |
| Spread: Bruins (-1.5) | Jan 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Jan 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Flames | Jan 26 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | Jan 26 | $16 | +$15 | +96% |
| Spread: Penguins (-1.5) | Jan 25 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spread: Devils (-1.5) | Jan 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-16.5) | Jan 25 | $8 | +$8 | +96% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Jan 25 | $16 | +$16 | +100% |
| Canadiens vs. Bruins | Jan 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) | Jan 24 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) | Jan 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Kraken | Jan 24 | $4 | +$4 | +108% |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | Jan 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Jan 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Jan 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) | Jan 23 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) | Jan 23 | $2 | +$2 | +104% |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) | Jan 23 | $2 | +$2 | +104% |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | Jan 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | Jan 22 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Flames | Jan 22 | $2 | +$2 | +89% |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) | Jan 22 | $2 | +$2 | +92% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | Jan 22 | $2 | +$2 | +92% |
| Stars vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | Jan 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 17 | $7,283 | −$7,283 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 13 | $4,250 | +$2,953 | +70% |
| Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship? | Jan 12 | $1,000 | +$72 | +7% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jan 12 | $1,598 | +$1,802 | +113% |
| 49ers vs. Eagles | Jan 11 | $2,400 | −$2,400 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $750 | +$846 | +113% |
| Rams vs. Panthers | Jan 11 | $500 | +$102 | +20% |
| Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 09 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 02 | $300 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 01 | $250 | +$22 | +9% |