Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:35:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9b1…4625
sports · 25 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$221 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$221 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$221
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses10 / 15
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage4d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day36.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$221
14 days−$221
30 days−$221
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $26 −$1 -5%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $1 $0 -0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ Jun 10 $11 −$2 -18%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 10 $30 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $445 −$88 -20%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $159 −$17 -11%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $46 $0 +1%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $24 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $101 −$3 -3%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 09 $124 +$3 +2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $91 −$47 -51%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $10 −$5 -46%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $130 +$5 +4%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu Jun 09 $210 −$70 -33%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $40 +$2 +6%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Pl Jun 09 $10 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$221
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L SELL WRAITH PCIFIC 97¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L BUY WRAITH PCIFIC 96¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L SELL WRAITH PCIFIC 95¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L SELL WRAITH PCIFIC 95¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L BUY WRAITH PCIFIC 95¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L BUY WRAITH PCIFIC 93¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 27¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 32¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 27¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 27¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 25¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 22¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 21¢ $5 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 27h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 27h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $1 33h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $1 47h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 47h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 47h
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ SELL Wildcard Gaming 78¢ $8 47h
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ SELL 100 Thieves 17¢ $0 47h
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ SELL 100 Thieves 17¢ $1 47h
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ BUY Wildcard Gaming 97¢ $10 47h
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ BUY 100 Thieves 16¢ $1 47h
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur SELL Donstu Esports 99¢ $0 2d
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur SELL Donstu Esports 92¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur SELL Donstu Esports 92¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur SELL Donstu Esports 92¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur BUY Donstu Esports 91¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur SELL B8 Academy 91¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -7.1% -16.0% 40% 4% -22.4%
≤30d 25 -7.1% -16.0% 40% 4% -22.4%
≤90d 25 -7.1% -16.0% 40% 4% -22.4%
all 25 -7.1% -16.0% 40% 4% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 4% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 0% -29.8%
15% -31.3% 0% -36.6%
20% -38.1% 0% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 158 history records