Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:06:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf9b9…5e9f crypto 213 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$194 (+17%) realized +$194 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate48%102W / 111L
Drawdown55%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day70.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$118
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 213 -3.4% -12.6% 48% 46% +0.9%
≤30d 213 -3.4% -12.6% 48% 46% +0.9%
≤90d 213 -3.4% -12.6% 48% 46% +0.9%
all 213 -3.4% -12.6% 48% 46% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 46% +0.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 41% -8.8%
15% -28.6% 33% -17.6%
20% -35.6% 28% -25.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +11% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +11% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$3 · ×1.44 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.32 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$194
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses102 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)213 / 213
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day70.4
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 213 Trades
no open positions (105 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $17 +$9 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$8 +235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$5 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$11 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$63 +1179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$12 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $14 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $9 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 498 history records