Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:31:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf9b9…f97a crypto 1669 markets active 2h ago coverage 55d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$75 (+1%) realized −$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate85%1420W / 249L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day32.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$232
14 days−$118
30 days−$272
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 -16.9% -24.8% 75% 38% -23.1%
≤30d 638 -10.4% -18.9% 80% 40% -14.7%
≤90d 1669 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 50% -10.0%
all 1669 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 50% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 50% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 8% -18.6%
15% -27.0% 7% -26.4%
20% -34.1% 5% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

55d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1420 / 249
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1669 / 1669
History coverage55d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1669 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $13 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $13 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $13 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $13 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $13 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records