Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:13:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9c7…ca47
crypto · 175 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses96 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions8
Markets (closed)167 / 175
History coverage115d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day23.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $21 $30 +$9 (+41%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 43¢ 48¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+10%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 14¢ 8¢ $13 $7 −$6 (-47%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $7 $2 −$4 (-64%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-33%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes 28¢ 22¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-21%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No 5¢ 3¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-39%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No 4¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-62%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No 4¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $25 −$2 -8%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Feb 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Feb 26 $21 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Feb 26 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Feb 26 $12 +$28 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Feb 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Feb 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Feb 26 $14 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Feb 26 $39 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Feb 26 $57 +$23 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Feb 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Feb 26 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Feb 26 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Feb 26 $198 +$80 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Feb 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Feb 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Feb 26 $170 +$69 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Feb 26 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Feb 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Feb 26 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Feb 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Feb 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Feb 26 $2 +$4 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Feb 26 $19 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Feb 26 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Feb 26 $76 +$31 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Feb 26 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Feb 26 $57 +$23 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Feb 26 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Feb 26 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Feb 26 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Feb 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Feb 26 $9 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Feb 26 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Feb 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Feb 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Feb 26 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Feb 26 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Feb 26 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Feb 26 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Feb 26 $113 +$46 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Feb 26 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Feb 26 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Feb 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Feb 25 $179 +$73 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Feb 25 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Feb 25 $142 +$57 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1
tech 1% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 2m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 2m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 3m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes 43¢ $6 3m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL No 28¢ $1 3m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY No 29¢ $1 4m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL No 28¢ $3 4m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 6m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 6m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes 43¢ $4 8m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 10m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 11m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL No 84¢ $8 21m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL No 51¢ $3 24m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 51¢ $3 24m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL No 50¢ $2 24m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL No 50¢ $2 24m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 51¢ $3 24m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 50¢ $3 25m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL No 49¢ $5 25m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 32m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 35m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? SELL No 94¢ $9 45m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL No 79¢ $4 46m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? SELL No 3¢ $1 47m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? BUY No 4¢ $1 47m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? SELL No 3¢ $1 48m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY No 9¢ $1 51m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? SELL No 90¢ $9 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -6.6% -15.5% 0% 0% -15.7%
≤30d 3 -6.6% -15.5% 0% 0% -15.7%
≤90d 3 -6.6% -15.5% 0% 0% -15.7%
all 167 -11.6% -20.0% 57% 54% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 54% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 31% -18.2%
15% -34.7% 31% -26.1%
20% -41.1% 7% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.26 · official $53.27 (match) · 3500 history records