Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:32:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9cb…7d63
crypto · 485 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,376 -98%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,376 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18,376
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses245 / 312
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)557 / 485
History coverage1d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day3155.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,376
7 days−$18,376
14 days−$18,376
30 days−$18,376
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3,709 $0 −$3,709 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $969 $0 −$969 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3,709 −$3,709 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $969 −$969 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $196 −$196 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $259 −$259 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $315 −$315 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,497
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $67 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $93 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $22 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $14 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $27 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $14 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 557 -11.5% -19.9% 44% 43% -56.4%
≤30d 557 -11.5% -19.9% 44% 43% -56.4%
≤90d 557 -11.5% -19.9% 44% 43% -56.4%
all 557 -11.5% -19.9% 44% 43% -56.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3155.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 43% -56.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 40% -60.5%
15% -34.6% 39% -64.3%
20% -41.0% 37% -67.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records