trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 44% | 33% | +1.3% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +61.7% | +46.3% | 50% | 29% | -4.1% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +52.3% | +37.8% | 48% | 31% | -4.2% |
| all | 29 | +52.3% | +37.8% | 48% | 31% | -4.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +37.8% | 31% | -4.2% |
| 10% | +24.6% | 24% | -13.4% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +12.6% | 14% | -21.8% |
| 20% | +1.5% | 14% | -29.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 88¢ | 88¢ | $500 | $503 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $500 | $496 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $500 | $496 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $464 | $450 | −$14 (-3%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $474 | $438 | −$35 (-7%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $206 | $200 | −$6 (-3%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19? | Yes | 24¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-35%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 19 | $500 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $260 | +$25 | +10% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,000 | −$13 | -1% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $709 | +$566 | +80% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,400 | −$699 | -50% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2,003 | −$45 | -2% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $4,181 | +$550 | +13% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $3,978 | +$1,395 | +35% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1,201 | −$188 | -16% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2,001 | +$87 | +4% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $1,300 | −$1,300 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $5,014 | +$630 | +13% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 08 | $200 | +$3 | +1% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $2,212 | +$513 | +23% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1,009 | +$10 | +1% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $150 | +$14 | +9% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $128 | −$29 | -23% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $123 | −$4 | -3% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $93 | −$25 | -26% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $18 | +$5 | +25% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $20 | −$4 | -18% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $181 | −$25 | -14% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $132 | +$11 | +9% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $310 | −$23 | -8% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $25 | +$23 | +92% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 16 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Apr 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |