Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T04:19:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FA 0xfa20…5cb5 crypto 5 markets active 1h ago coverage 103d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$230 (-54%) realized −$230 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -50% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -55% what you keep after slip
Net edge-55%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$86per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 69% −$174
other 31% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-54.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -34.1% -40.3% 0% 0% -40.3%
≤30d 1 -34.1% -40.3% 0% 0% -40.3%
≤90d 5 -50.0% -54.7% 0% 0% -58.4%
all 5 -50.0% -54.7% 0% 0% -58.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -54.7% 0% -58.4%
10% -59.1% 0% -62.4%
15% -63.0% 0% -66.0%
20% -66.6% 0% -69.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -56% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -50% · $-wt -56% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$44 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

103d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$230
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage103d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Jun 24 $132 −$45 -34%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 4? Apr 28 $96 −$89 -93%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 4? Apr 28 $100 −$76 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3AM ET Apr 22 $50 −$4 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 3PM ET Apr 21 $50 −$4 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? SELL Yes 40¢ $87 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 4? BUY No 3¢ $96 56d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 4? SELL No 3¢ $17 56d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 4? BUY No 3¢ $0 56d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 4? BUY No 3¢ $0 56d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 4? BUY No 5¢ $100 56d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $46 62d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 3PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $46 64d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $50 64d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 3PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $50 64d
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $110 75d
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? BUY Yes 58¢ $11 102d
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? BUY Yes 57¢ $12 102d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records