Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa51…7f9f
crypto · 44 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$59 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses25 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day100.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days−$59
14 days−$59
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$15 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$5 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$14 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-31.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -24.5% -31.7% 57% 48% -20.6%
≤30d 44 -24.5% -31.7% 57% 48% -20.6%
≤90d 44 -24.5% -31.7% 57% 48% -20.6%
all 44 -24.5% -31.7% 57% 48% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.7% 48% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -38.2% 20% -28.2%
15% -44.2% 11% -35.2%
20% -49.7% 7% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 136 history records