Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa5c…12f2
sports · 4 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$57 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 43¢ 44¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 39¢ 38¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 44¢ 42¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 44¢ $12 3h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 43¢ $15 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 39¢ $14 5h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $16 23h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $20 24h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $21 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.52 · official $39.52 (match) · 7 history records