Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:12:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa6c…b765
crypto · 1712 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$181 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$151 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$151
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1271 / 438
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1709 / 1712
History coverage45d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day41.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1709 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$48
14 days−$4
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$11 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$180
politics 0% −$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $15 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $15 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 638 +0.1% -9.4% 74% 74% -10.0%
≤30d 1547 -0.4% -9.9% 74% 74% -9.7%
≤90d 1709 -0.5% -10.0% 74% 68% -10.1%
all 1709 -0.5% -10.0% 74% 68% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 68% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 44% -18.7%
15% -26.5% 26% -26.5%
20% -33.7% 14% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.22 · official $0.22 (match) · 3047 history records