Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:33:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa7c…9e02
sports · 755 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses382 / 353
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions19
Markets (closed)735 / 755
History coverage100d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 19 History 735 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$107
14 days−$118
30 days−$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 33¢ 44¢ $16 $21 +$5 (+31%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 58¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+8%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 28¢ 31¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 48¢ 69¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 51¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 84¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Boyer vs. Izquierdo: Match O/U 21.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 −$28 -46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -49%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Shevchenko vs. Mrva: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Shevchenko vs. Mrva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +111%
Boyer vs. Izquierdo: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -14%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +53%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 -16%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $8 +$3 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +32%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -13%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$29
other 11% +$4
crypto 3% −$6
weather 1% −$10
world 0% +$5
culture 0% +$5
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 67¢ $1 6m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 12m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $3 13m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $3 44m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $6 46m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 47m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 48m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $6 52m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 30¢ $16 55m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 57m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 30¢ $16 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 3¢ $0 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 21¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 54¢ $1 3h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on SELL Yes 57¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $56 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 58¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 90¢ $2 5h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 5h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 61¢ $1 7h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 14¢ $0 7h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 46¢ $1 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 3¢ $0 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 9¢ $1 7h
Shevchenko vs. Mrva: Match O/U 22.5 SELL Under 99¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 290 -5.0% -14.0% 47% 45% -19.4%
≤30d 400 -4.5% -13.6% 46% 44% -16.1%
≤90d 599 -4.0% -13.2% 48% 46% -15.7%
all 735 -0.8% -10.2% 52% 49% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 49% -10.2%
10% -18.8% 41% -18.7%
15% -26.7% 31% -26.6%
20% -33.9% 22% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.51 · official $68.51 · 2574 history records