trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -8.0% | -16.7% | 36% | 36% | +46.6% |
| ≤30d | 38 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 32% | 32% | -21.7% |
| ≤90d | 67 | -39.9% | -45.6% | 21% | 19% | -43.4% |
| all | 165 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 25% | 24% | -34.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.5% | 24% | -34.8% |
| 10% | -32.7% | 22% | -41.0% |
| 15% | -39.2% | 20% | -46.7% |
| 20% | -45.1% | 20% | -52.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 4¢ | $500 | $738 | +$238 (+48%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $188 | $256 | +$68 (+36%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $105 | $118 | +$13 (+12%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | No | 33¢ | 32¢ | $91 | $89 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $97 | $86 | −$11 (-11%) |
| Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $42 | −$8 (-17%) |
| Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $100 | $40 | −$60 (-60%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $103 | −$99 | -96% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $255 | +$201 | +79% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $71 | −$70 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $102 | +$87 | +86% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $50 | −$48 | -97% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $101 | +$64 | +63% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $98 | −$96 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $92 | −$90 | -97% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $79 | −$20 | -25% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $204 | −$91 | -44% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $278 | +$958 | +345% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $87 | +$117 | +134% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $95 | −$91 | -96% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $334 | −$296 | -89% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $139 | +$16 | +12% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $26 | −$2 | -7% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $121 | +$1,023 | +846% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $921 | −$708 | -77% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 07 | $257 | −$145 | -56% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | Jun 06 | $790 | −$648 | -82% |
| Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 05 | $409 | −$399 | -97% |
| Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 05 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska | Jun 04 | $102 | +$17 | +16% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva | Jun 04 | $94 | −$91 | -97% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 03 | $100 | −$6 | -6% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 02 | $102 | −$97 | -95% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda | Jun 01 | $33 | −$31 | -95% |
| Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 31 | $110 | −$2 | -2% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev | May 31 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova | May 31 | $58 | +$89 | +152% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | May 30 | $102 | +$199 | +194% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 25 | $315 | −$304 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $100 | +$68 | +68% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 17 | $155 | −$151 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $200 | −$194 | -97% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $101 | −$98 | -97% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $93 | −$8 | -9% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $48 | −$46 | -98% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 10 | $55 | +$33 | +60% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $101 | −$98 | -97% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |