Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfab1…1658
crypto · 2129 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$23 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$652 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$652
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses1099 / 850
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1949 / 2129
History coverage34d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day69.4
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1949 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$311
7 days−$65
14 days+$383
30 days+$586
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,030
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 453 -7.0% -15.9% 62% 62% -13.2%
≤30d 1540 +8.2% -2.1% 58% 58% +0.7%
≤90d 1949 +7.4% -2.8% 56% 56% -0.4%
all 1949 +7.4% -2.8% 56% 56% -0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 56% -0.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 54% -9.9%
15% -20.6% 43% -18.6%
20% -28.4% 34% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records