trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 22% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 22% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 22% | 0% | -11.3% |
| all | 22 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 18% | 0% | -13.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 0% | -13.2% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 0% | -21.5% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -29.1% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -36.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 98¢ | $200 | $199 | −$1 (-0%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 82¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? | No | 83¢ | 81¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$4 | -41% |
| Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $201 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $25 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | Jan 12 | $219 | −$219 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 20 | Jan 12 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 23? | Jan 12 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 23 | $1,800 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Nov 23 | $1,500 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 23 | $1,200 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Nov | Nov 23 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | Nov 23 | $160 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ed Sheeran be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? | Nov 23 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Nov 23 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | Nov 23 | $32 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 12 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31? | Nov 12 | $19 | $0 | -0% |