Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:48:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FA 0xfac8…0ab3 crypto 1287 markets active 0h ago coverage 50d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 49d only
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$260 (+1%) realized +$260 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate53%677W / 610L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day52.2pace
Fees−$7est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$467
14 days−$140
30 days−$485
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$76
world 1% +$31
sports 1% −$93
politics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 -19.4% -27.0% 43% 42% -25.3%
≤30d 787 -2.5% -11.8% 50% 48% -12.3%
≤90d 1287 -1.2% -10.6% 53% 50% -10.2%
all 1287 -1.2% -10.6% 53% 50% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 50% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 46% -18.8%
15% -27.0% 36% -26.6%
20% -34.1% 26% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$13 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$260
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses677 / 610
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1287 / 1287
History coverage50d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day52.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1287 Trades
no open positions (384 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $13 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$6 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records