trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $15 | +$5 (+47%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28? | Up | 60¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28? | Up | 53¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$6 | -63% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$18 | +172% |
| South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $124 | +$118 | +95% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | May 21 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Apr 30 | $20 | +$4 | +21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Apr 30 | $41 | +$2 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Apr 30 | $30 | +$4 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Apr 30 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Apr 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Apr 30 | $19 | +$7 | +34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Apr 30 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Apr 28 | $1 | +$2 | +151% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28? | Apr 28 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28? | Apr 28 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | Apr 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 25% | 25% | +40.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -32.4% | -38.8% | 33% | 22% | +23.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -23.4% | -30.7% | 45% | 30% | +12.2% |
| all | 20 | -23.4% | -30.7% | 45% | 30% | +12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.7% | 30% | +12.2% |
| 10% | -37.3% | 20% | +1.5% |
| 15% | -43.4% | 15% | -8.3% |
| 20% | -48.9% | 15% | -17.3% |