Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:51:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FA 0xfaea…3b46 crypto 1302 markets active 10h ago coverage 186d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$119 (-2%) realized −$119 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate72%938W / 364L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day11.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$52
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$191
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 0% -6.7%
≤30d 475 -9.3% -17.9% 87% 2% -13.3%
≤90d 1003 -4.9% -14.0% 76% 15% -12.7%
all 1302 -4.4% -13.5% 72% 22% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.5% 22% -11.8%
10% -21.8% 16% -20.2%
15% -29.3% 12% -27.9%
20% -36.3% 8% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

186d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$119
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses938 / 364
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1302 / 1302
History coverage186d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1302 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3074 history records