Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb06…5c2d
crypto · 1020 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,031 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,031 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,031
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses442 / 578
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1020 / 1020
History coverage61d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 1020 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$3
14 days−$58
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +115%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$10 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$30 +98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$9 +144%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$20 +78%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$16 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $14 +$16 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +52%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +47%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$3 +159%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 05 $25 +$10 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 05 $3 +$4 +146%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$395
other 18% −$636
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $7 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 10h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -18.4% -26.2% 41% 41% -10.3%
≤30d 461 +7.8% -2.5% 46% 46% -9.6%
≤90d 1020 +4.4% -5.6% 43% 43% -17.2%
all 1020 +4.4% -5.6% 43% 43% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 43% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 40% -25.2%
15% -22.9% 35% -32.4%
20% -30.4% 30% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records