Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb07…28bd
sports · 600 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$13 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses377 / 160
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions63
Markets (closed)537 / 600
History coverage21d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day29.7
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 63 History 537 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$112
7 days−$15
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 40¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+150%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 61¢ 96¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+58%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 80¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Elizabeth Mandlik 54¢ 65¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 79¢ 91¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 19¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 65¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 80¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? No 33¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Saudi Arabia 59¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Giorgia Pedone Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Malta (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Stefano Travaglia Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonald Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Foggia: Lucia Bronzetti vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$12
other 14% $0
crypto 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 54¢ $1 17m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 89¢ $1 19m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $1 38m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 61¢ $1 39m
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 90¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 82¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 33¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 59¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 65¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 BUY Under 90¢ $1 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 BUY Under 80¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 94¢ $1 3h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 89¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 59¢ $1 3h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Dali Blanch 78¢ $1 5h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $1 5h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 57¢ $1 5h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 82¢ $1 5h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $1 6h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $1 6h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 33¢ $1 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $1 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $1 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $1 8h
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 73¢ $1 9h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 90¢ $1 9h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 55¢ $1 9h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 44¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 -3.5% -12.7% 65% 56% -12.5%
≤30d 537 +2.5% -7.3% 70% 55% -7.7%
≤90d 537 +2.5% -7.3% 70% 55% -7.7%
all 537 +2.5% -7.3% 70% 55% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 55% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 38% -16.6%
15% -24.3% 27% -24.6%
20% -31.7% 18% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.10 · official $70.95 (match) · 1188 history records