Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:20:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb0f…0b02
crypto · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$68 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$439
Realized+$68
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses12 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)23 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$438
Trades / day3476.0
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$68
7 days+$68
14 days+$68
30 days+$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 85¢ 98¢ $362 $414 +$52 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+116%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 21¢ 2¢ $40 $5 −$35 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 47¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $487 +$11 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $402 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $753 −$34 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $84 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $555 −$3 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $140 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $780 −$25 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $418 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $591 +$24 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $645 −$11 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $372 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $751 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $650 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $739 +$78 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $550 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $320 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $524 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $599 +$14 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $616 −$22 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $262 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $439 +$15 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $14 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 23 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 23 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 0% -9.0%
all 23 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 0% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3476.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -17.7%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.6%
20% -33.1% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $439.07 · official $372.20 · 3500 history records