Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:15:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb13…37cd
sports · 78 markets active 2h ago
6.5score
+$61,498 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48,447 · open +$13,051
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$41,750
Realized+$48,447
Unrealized+$13,051
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses24 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$2,191
Open positions9
Markets (closed)69 / 78
History coverage710d
Avg bet$3,042
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 9 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,656
7 days+$14,988
14 days+$36,136
30 days+$32,314
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 35¢ 81¢ $5,700 $13,214 +$7,514 (+132%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $5,000 $10,411 +$5,411 (+108%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $7,500 $7,312 −$188 (-2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $5,000 $4,931 −$69 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2,000 $1,973 −$27 (-1%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,000 $1,233 +$233 (+23%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,000 $994 −$6 (-1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,000 $932 −$68 (-7%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $500 $749 +$250 (+50%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 50¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? Yes $499 $0 −$499 (-100%)
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? Yes $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? Yes $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Jirí Procházka 51¢ $3,128 $0 −$3,128 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 30¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Spurs 55¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? Yes $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading? Yes $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 26¢ $693 $0 −$693 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 39¢ $5,500 $0 −$5,500 (-100%)
Seahawks vs. Patriots Patriots 33¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Will Binance be accused of insider trading? Yes $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 37¢ $3,500 $0 −$3,500 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 45¢ $236 $0 −$236 (-100%)
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) Max Holloway 51¢ $3,899 $0 −$3,899 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5,069 −$5,000 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $9,549 −$9,549 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5,092 +$7,897 +155%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $6,095 +$10,307 +169%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $9,124 −$9,000 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3,045 −$3,000 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3,041 +$2,508 +82%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3,038 −$1,070 -35%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $15,094 +$21,893 +145%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $5,094 +$8,419 +165%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $1,488 −$1,488 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $3,031 +$1,584 +52%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $20,077 +$12,633 +63%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $1,021 −$1,000 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $5,600 −$3,450 -62%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $5,599 −$5,500 -98%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $11,140 +$9,113 +82%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 24 $239 −$236 -98%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $110 +$130 +119%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 22 $507 −$500 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $708 −$693 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $506 +$314 +62%
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry May 16 $2,035 −$2,000 -98%
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO? May 10 $715 −$715 -100%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $3,101 +$12,083 +390%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 22 $500 −$500 -100%
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Apr 09 $3,175 −$3,128 -98%
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) Mar 08 $3,899 −$3,899 -100%
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading? Feb 26 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? Feb 26 $75 −$75 -100%
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? Feb 26 $100 −$100 -100%
Will OKX be accused of insider trading? Feb 26 $70 −$70 -100%
Will Binance be accused of insider trading? Feb 26 $200 −$200 -100%
Seahawks vs. Patriots Feb 08 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Patriots vs. Broncos Jan 25 $4,525 −$4,525 -100%
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) Jan 25 $1,499 +$3,044 +203%
49ers vs. Seahawks Jan 25 $4,485 −$4,485 -100%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 25 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
49ers vs. Eagles Jan 12 $4,998 +$11,124 +223%
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? Dec 20 $499 −$499 -100%
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? Dec 20 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $13,230 +$7,411 +56%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nov 09 $1,784 −$1,784 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nov 02 $2,690 −$2,567 -95%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Nov 02 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) Nov 02 $1,287 −$1,166 -91%
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) Nov 02 $963 −$250 -26%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Nov 02 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Nov 02 $9,500 +$3,570 +38%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 01 $700 +$2,686 +384%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$55,702
other 9% +$6,072
crypto 1% −$227
politics 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $2,057 2h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $1,030 2h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $1,030 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5,069 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $181 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $16 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $3 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $9 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $1,135 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $1 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $15 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $32 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $21 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $5 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $9 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $1 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 $71 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $2,549 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5,078 20h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $2,546 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $2,546 28h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $515 28h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 20¢ $2,560 46h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $5,096 46h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 14¢ $1,026 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $5,069 3d
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 20¢ $5,120 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $3,548 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $5,576 4d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 50¢ $3,045 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +12.9% +2.2% 44% 44% +13.5%
≤30d 23 -6.1% -15.0% 43% 43% +16.2%
≤90d 27 -1.8% -11.2% 41% 41% +20.4%
all 69 -19.0% -26.7% 35% 35% +11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.7% 35% +11.8%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 33% +1.1%
15% -40.1% 30% -8.7%
20% -46.0% 29% -17.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41,750.49 · official $41,750.49 (match) · 303 history records