trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 75% | 25% | -1.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -7.3% | -16.2% | 55% | 18% | -12.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -7.3% | -16.2% | 55% | 18% | -12.7% |
| all | 11 | -7.3% | -16.2% | 55% | 18% | -12.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 18% | -12.7% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 9% | -21.0% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 9% | -28.7% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 9% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $106 | $106 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju | Jun 13 | $49 | +$51 | +105% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju | Jun 13 | $109 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju | Jun 12 | $148 | −$13 | -8% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju | Jun 12 | $26 | −$26 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju | Jun 12 | $338 | +$44 | +13% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $311 | +$29 | +10% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $127 | −$127 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | -0% |