Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:00:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb32…2b84
crypto · 800 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$626 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$626 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$626
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses494 / 306
Open positions0
Markets (closed)800 / 800
History coverage60d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 800 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$272
7 days−$322
14 days−$378
30 days−$378
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$626
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 527 -1.1% -10.5% 66% 65% -13.5%
≤30d 555 -3.0% -12.2% 64% 63% -14.1%
≤90d 800 -6.1% -15.1% 62% 61% -15.7%
all 800 -6.1% -15.1% 62% 61% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 61% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 55% -23.7%
15% -30.6% 45% -31.1%
20% -37.4% 33% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.13 · official $51.13 (match) · 2060 history records