Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:09:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb42…44b3
crypto · 1261 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$189 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$251 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$251
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses668 / 593
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1261 / 1261
History coverage63d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day37.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days−$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$248
other 1% $0
world 0% −$3
politics 0% −$1
culture 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 384 -3.0% -12.2% 56% 49% -8.3%
≤30d 813 -16.7% -24.6% 46% 42% -18.0%
≤90d 1261 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 48% -15.4%
all 1261 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 48% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 48% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 35% -23.5%
15% -34.7% 26% -30.9%
20% -41.1% 18% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3335 history records