Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:58:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb43…7f63
crypto · 122 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$20 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$21
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses113 / 8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)121 / 122
History coverage8d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day92.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$9
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Up 97¢ 86¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $75 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $65 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 11 $45 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $45 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 -2.4% -11.7% 94% 3% -9.2%
≤30d 121 -2.6% -11.9% 93% 2% -8.9%
≤90d 121 -2.6% -11.9% 93% 2% -8.9%
all 121 -2.6% -11.9% 93% 2% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 2% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 0% -17.6%
15% -28.0% 0% -25.6%
20% -35.1% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.77 · official $8.77 (match) · 814 history records