trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -29.2% | -35.9% | 42% | 42% | -32.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -41.3% | -46.9% | 36% | 36% | -42.4% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -41.3% | -46.9% | 36% | 36% | -42.4% |
| all | 25 | -41.3% | -46.9% | 36% | 36% | -42.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.9% | 36% | -42.4% |
| 10% | -52.0% | 28% | -48.0% |
| 15% | -56.6% | 24% | -53.0% |
| 20% | -60.9% | 24% | -57.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $780 | $705 | −$75 (-10%) |
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | Egypt | 33¢ | 36¢ | $98 | $106 | +$7 (+8%) |
| France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score | No | 67¢ | 66¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $184 | +$120 | +65% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $99 | +$12 | +12% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $40 | +$14 | +34% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $61 | +$33 | +55% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $61 | +$39 | +65% |
| Harry Kane: 3+ goals | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $101 | +$55 | +55% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Jun 17 | $51 | +$105 | +206% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $99 | −$97 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 14 | $25 | −$24 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $103 | +$21 | +20% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? | Jun 14 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $162 | −$159 | -98% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |