trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 4% | 4% | -5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 4% | -5.4% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 4% | -14.5% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 4% | -22.7% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 4% | -30.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 25 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 24 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 12 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 19 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 21 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 20 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 25 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September? | Sep 23 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League? | Aug 18 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? | Jul 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -11% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 08 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 14 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | Apr 03 | $40 | +$36 | +89% |
| Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Feb 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 16 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 05 | $573 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Dec 05 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 05 | $10 | $0 | -0% |