Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:49:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb5e…112b
crypto · 1375 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$318 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$318 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$318
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1151 / 224
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1375 / 1375
History coverage61d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day27.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$20
14 days−$50
30 days−$139
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$17 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$16 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$17 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$318
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $23 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $22 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $17 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $22 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $22 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 451 +1.2% -8.4% 90% 4% -9.4%
≤30d 1012 +0.2% -9.4% 85% 5% -10.0%
≤90d 1375 -0.2% -9.7% 84% 5% -10.2%
all 1375 -0.2% -9.7% 84% 5% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 5% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -18.8%
15% -26.2% 1% -26.7%
20% -33.5% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records