Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb68…aabd
weather · 919 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$336 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$330 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,521
Realized+$330
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses809 / 58
Open positions52
Markets (closed)867 / 919
History coverage65d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day47.3
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 52 History 867 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$53
14 days+$87
30 days+$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $299 +$2 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $138 $140 +$2 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $125 $125 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $90 $91 +$1 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? No 97¢ 96¢ $59 $58 −$1 (-2%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 14? No 97¢ 94¢ $52 $50 −$2 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $45 $44 −$0 (-1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 13? No 98¢ 96¢ $45 $44 −$1 (-2%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+2%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $34 $34 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $27 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11? Jun 12 $327 +$3 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 11? Jun 12 $116 +$4 +4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $27 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $91 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 +$1 +3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $29 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$2 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $21 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $16 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12? Jun 11 $25 −$1 -3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on June 10? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 10? Jun 11 $248 +$4 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 10? Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on June 10? Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 10? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 10? Jun 10 $31 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10 Jun 10 $50 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $30 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on June 10? Jun 10 $36 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$339
world 0% −$5
other 0% +$2
tech 0% −$1
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $15 1m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $8 6m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 7m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $4 16m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $15 16m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $10 20m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $30 21m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 21m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $15 21m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $5 23m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 39m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $6 46m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $5 55m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $10 59m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 13? BUY No 91¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $27 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $30 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $10 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 13? BUY No 91¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $10 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $15 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $10 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $12 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $15 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on June BUY No 99¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 +0.9% -8.7% 97% 1% -8.6%
≤30d 539 +0.7% -8.9% 94% 2% -8.6%
≤90d 867 +1.3% -8.3% 93% 2% -8.4%
all 867 +1.3% -8.3% 93% 2% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 2% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 1% -17.1%
15% -25.1% 1% -25.1%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,521.00 · official $1,520.19 (match) · 3500 history records