Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:13:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FB 0xfb68…9992 crypto 1703 markets active 1h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (174 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,224 (-31%) realized −$2,224 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate40%681W / 1005L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day174.3pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$540
7 days−$590
14 days−$1,845
30 days−$953
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$413
other 1% −$4
weather 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (174 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 500 -28.6% -35.4% 42% 15% -39.4%
≤30d 1686 -6.4% -15.3% 40% 32% -21.1%
≤90d 1686 -6.4% -15.3% 40% 32% -21.1%
all 1686 -6.4% -15.3% 40% 32% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover174.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 32% -21.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 31% -28.7%
15% -30.8% 30% -35.6%
20% -37.6% 29% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -19% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×1.1 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,224
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses681 / 1005
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1686 / 1703
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day174.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1686 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 59m
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt? SELL No 97¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay? SELL No 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records