Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:15:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FB 0xfb72…8255 crypto 6 markets active 7h ago coverage 4d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$17 (-0%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -34% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -51% what you keep after slip
Net edge-51%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,378per market
Trades / day42.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$21
sports 1% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-39.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -33.6% -39.9% 0% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 6 -33.6% -39.9% 0% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 6 -33.6% -39.9% 0% 0% -9.8%
all 6 -33.6% -39.9% 0% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.9% 0% -9.8%
10% -45.7% 0% -18.4%
15% ← realistic here -50.9% 0% -26.3%
20% -55.7% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -34% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
14.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$4 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1,378
Trades / day42.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics Jun 20 $101 −$1 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? Jun 18 $2,510 −$9 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $1,409 −$6 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $1,455 −$2 -0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Jun 18 $40 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $2,755 −$4 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics SELL Los Angeles Angels 98¢ $100 7h
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics BUY Los Angeles Angels 99¢ $101 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $91 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 97¢ $92 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 96¢ $100 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 97¢ $101 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 96¢ $100 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 97¢ $101 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 97¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 97¢ $101 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 97¢ $100 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 97¢ $100 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.53 · official $0.00 (match) · 171 history records