Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb77…1c78
sports · 1311 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$763 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,139 · open −$376
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$978
Realized+$1,139
Unrealized−$376
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses584 / 707
Est. fees paid−$595
Open positions20
Markets (closed)1291 / 1311
History coverage49d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day48.6
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 20 History 1291 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$1,667
14 days+$40
30 days+$879
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 26¢ 100¢ $60 $231 +$171 (+284%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 28¢ 88¢ $60 $185 +$125 (+209%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 41¢ 55¢ $90 $120 +$30 (+33%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 49¢ 45¢ $75 $70 −$5 (-7%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 47¢ 52¢ $60 $66 +$6 (+10%)
Set 2 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Shelton 56¢ 100¢ $30 $53 +$23 (+78%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 44¢ 33¢ $60 $45 −$15 (-25%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 29¢ 30¢ $34 $36 +$2 (+5%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 43¢ 77¢ $18 $32 +$14 (+79%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 46¢ 20¢ $60 $26 −$34 (-56%)
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Bonzi 45¢ 40¢ $28 $25 −$3 (-11%)
Lyon (Doubles): Arias/Ingildsen vs Isaro/Poonacha Isaro/Poonacha 58¢ 100¢ $14 $24 +$10 (+72%)
Set Handicap: Dart (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Dart 41¢ 28¢ $28 $19 −$9 (-32%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Shelton 50¢ 25¢ $25 $12 −$13 (-51%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 45¢ 12¢ $40 $11 −$29 (-73%)
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima Sebastian Gima 28¢ 8¢ $30 $9 −$21 (-70%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 26¢ 4¢ $60 $8 −$52 (-87%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Federico Cina 47¢ 57¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Lulu Sun 35¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 38¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 39¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 37¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 27¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Marco Cecchinato 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set 1 Winner: Salkova vs Kawa Jun 12 $28 +$25 +90%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $41 +$52 +127%
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova Jun 12 $12 +$3 +26%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 12 $16 +$22 +134%
Elena Rybakina vs. Tatjana Maria: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 +$8 +83%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $92 +$67 +73%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $61 +$95 +155%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $61 +$93 +152%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $61 +$9 +14%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $30 +$24 +79%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Set 2 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $25 +$28 +109%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $94 −$92 -98%
Bouzkova vs. Vekic: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $89 −$88 -98%
Set Handicap: Mannarino (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) Jun 12 $28 −$28 -99%
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Anton Shepp Jun 12 $55 −$54 -98%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $21 −$21 -98%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Jack Satterfield vs Spencer Johnson Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean Jun 12 $28 +$36 +127%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $118 +$184 +156%
Cigarran vs. Estevez: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $26 +$35 +134%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $76 −$13 -17%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 11 $53 +$7 +14%
ITF Los Angeles: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Sasha Rozin Jun 11 $37 −$36 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $71 +$15 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $114 +$96 +84%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $42 −$41 -98%
ITF Brasilia: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Bautista de la Pena Jun 11 $9 +$13 +140%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Shelton vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $53 +$42 +79%
Landaluce vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $6 +$4 +70%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $53 −$52 -98%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $53 −$52 -98%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $53 +$76 +143%
Gomez vs. Natour: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $26 +$31 +119%
Gomez vs. Natour: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $88 −$40 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$852
other 1% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 43¢ $15 12m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 43¢ $3 12m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 47¢ $30 13m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 47¢ $30 13m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 47¢ $5 15m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 28¢ $31 15m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 41¢ $4 21m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 44¢ $31 26m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 44¢ $31 26m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 27¢ $3 32m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 48¢ $10 40m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 47¢ $7 42m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 47¢ $30 42m
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima BUY Sebastian Gima 28¢ $31 47m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 34¢ $29 54m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 28¢ $31 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 29¢ $31 1h
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) BUY Bonzi 45¢ $28 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 29¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 26¢ $31 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 26¢ $31 1h
Lyon (Doubles): Arias/Ingildsen vs Isaro/Poonacha BUY Isaro/Poonacha 58¢ $14 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 46¢ $30 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 47¢ $30 1h
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand BUY Yanis Ghazouani Durand 28¢ $18 1h
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand BUY Yanis Ghazouani Durand 29¢ $29 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 37¢ $29 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 38¢ $29 1h
Set Handicap: Dart (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) BUY Dart 41¢ $28 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 42¢ $28 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 458 -17.2% -25.1% 36% 35% -18.5%
≤30d 1207 +2.0% -7.7% 44% 42% -7.0%
≤90d 1291 +3.9% -6.0% 45% 43% -6.4%
all 1291 +3.9% -6.0% 45% 43% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.0% 43% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.0% 43% -15.4%
15% -23.2% 41% -23.6%
20% -30.7% 38% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $978.45 · official $978.45 (match) · 3500 history records