Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:10:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb87…0335
sports · 554 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$8,377 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,324 · open −$296
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$415
Realized+$7,324
Unrealized−$296
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses256 / 294
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$898
Open positions4
Markets (closed)550 / 554
History coverage422d
Avg bet$289
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 550 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,658
7 days−$2,261
14 days−$2,261
30 days−$2,261
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 51¢ 50¢ $193 $191 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 61¢ 60¢ $135 $132 −$3 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 51¢ 32¢ $149 $92 −$57 (-38%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 57¢ 0¢ $234 $0 −$233 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner B8 39¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 41¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 31¢ 0¢ $508 $0 −$508 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner 3DMAX 40¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $161 $0 −$161 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner 3DMAX 29¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 39¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs SAW 55¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 8¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner HOTU 10¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 21¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Spread: Bulls (-6.5) Wizards 52¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Celtics 52¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 51¢ 0¢ $399 $0 −$399 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 50¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Vitality 76¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Warriors Warriors 31¢ 0¢ $399 $0 −$399 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 72¢ 0¢ $453 $0 −$453 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Astralis 8¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $151 −$15 -10%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $145 +$92 +63%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $98 −$96 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $100 +$143 +143%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $100 −$98 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $206 +$354 +172%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $145 −$141 -97%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $171 −$170 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $117 +$54 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $150 −$82 -55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $64 −$15 -24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $175 +$54 +31%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $130 +$45 +34%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $98 +$32 +33%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $200 −$196 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $524 −$108 -21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $97 +$3 +4%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $159 −$157 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $288 −$285 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $200 −$195 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $201 −$197 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $151 −$148 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $998 −$836 -84%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $200 +$143 +71%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $98 +$464 +473%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $260 −$113 -44%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$97 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $404 −$399 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $475 +$178 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $651 −$453 -70%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $483 +$287 +59%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $297 +$381 +128%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $517 −$508 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $347 −$342 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $495 +$247 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $112 −$109 -97%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $122 −$8 -6%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 11 $100 −$97 -97%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 11 $210 −$206 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Apr 11 $161 +$150 +93%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Apr 11 $150 −$147 -98%
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner Apr 11 $150 −$148 -99%
Counter-Strike: SAW vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship P Apr 11 $99 −$98 -99%
Warriors vs. Kings Apr 11 $159 +$41 +26%
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers Apr 11 $289 +$70 +24%
Timberwolves vs. Rockets Apr 11 $204 +$85 +41%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Apr 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Apr 10 $164 −$161 -98%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Apr 10 $200 −$196 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$9,412
other 6% −$2,360
world 0% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 61¢ $137 9m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 18¢ $137 11m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 51¢ $196 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 19¢ $151 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 51¢ $151 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 57¢ $237 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $237 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 41¢ $98 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 60¢ $145 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $243 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $100 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $100 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $560 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $206 12h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $145 19h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 76¢ $171 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $171 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 67¢ $117 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 50¢ $49 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 31¢ $49 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $64 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 31¢ $64 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 47¢ $100 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $229 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 75¢ $175 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $175 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 73¢ $130 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $130 25h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $98 26h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 32¢ $103 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -16.9% -24.8% 39% 36% -33.4%
≤30d 36 -16.9% -24.8% 39% 36% -33.4%
≤90d 417 -34.5% -40.7% 32% 31% -36.3%
all 550 -0.4% -9.9% 47% 45% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 45% -5.3%
10% -18.5% 45% -14.4%
15% -26.4% 42% -22.7%
20% -33.6% 37% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $415.43 · official $415.43 (match) · 1351 history records