Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfba1…1733
crypto · 62 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$245 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$240 · open −$83
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$510
Realized−$240
Unrealized−$83
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses2 / 32
Open positions28
Markets (closed)34 / 62
History coverage3d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day49.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 28 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$95
7 days−$240
14 days−$240
30 days−$240
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $60 $172 +$113 (+188%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $82 $41 −$41 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? No 0¢ 0¢ $10 $35 +$25 (+250%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $72 $34 −$38 (-53%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $65 $32 −$32 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $65 $30 −$34 (-53%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? No 0¢ 0¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $15 $22 +$8 (+50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $36 $18 −$18 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $26 $13 −$13 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? No 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 14¢ 12¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $12 $6 −$6 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $6 −$6 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-50%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -93%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$20 -93%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $11 −$10 -93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$14 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$30 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$22 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$30 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$318
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 39m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? BUY No 0¢ $11 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? BUY No 0¢ $11 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? BUY No 0¢ $11 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? BUY No 0¢ $11 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? BUY No 0¢ $11 41m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? BUY No 0¢ $11 43m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 44m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 47m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 47m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 47m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 48m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 48m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 50m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 50m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 55m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 55m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 55m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 57m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $54 57m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 59m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $11 59m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-87.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -86.1% -87.4% 6% 6% -86.5%
≤30d 34 -86.1% -87.4% 6% 6% -86.5%
≤90d 34 -86.1% -87.4% 6% 6% -86.5%
all 34 -86.1% -87.4% 6% 6% -86.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -87.4% 6% -86.5%
10% ← realistic here -88.6% 6% -87.8%
15% -89.7% 6% -89.0%
20% -90.7% 6% -90.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $509.84 · official $509.87 (match) · 143 history records