trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 10 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $114 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $114 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 28 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 14 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | May 06 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $232 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 08 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 26 | $116 | $0 | -0% |