Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:58:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FB 0xfbbd…7cbe crypto 1018 markets active 0h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (218 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$3,386 (-36%) realized −$3,386 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate69%700W / 318L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day218.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 12d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (218 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 677 -1.5% -10.9% 73% 40% -10.3%
≤30d 1018 -3.3% -12.5% 69% 45% -11.4%
≤90d 1018 -3.3% -12.5% 69% 45% -11.4%
all 1018 -3.3% -12.5% 69% 45% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover218.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 45% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 6% -19.9%
15% -28.5% 2% -27.6%
20% -35.5% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,386
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses700 / 318
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1018 / 1018
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day218.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1018 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$2 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$6 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$12 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$13 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$7 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$9 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $32 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records