trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 62% | 50% | -38.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 70% | 40% | -33.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 78% | 50% | -21.5% |
| all | 18 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 78% | 50% | -21.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 50% | -21.5% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 44% | -29.0% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 28% | -35.8% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 6% | -42.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 21¢ | 36¢ | $100 | $176 | +$76 (+76%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 87¢ | $170 | $168 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade? | Jun 21 | $305 | −$305 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $180 | −$180 | -100% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $125 | +$55 | +44% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $90 | +$36 | +40% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $245 | −$155 | -63% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $158 | +$86 | +55% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 04 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 04 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans? | May 21 | $101 | +$28 | +28% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May? | May 21 | $101 | +$40 | +39% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $101 | +$33 | +33% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $302 | +$33 | +11% |
| Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $101 | +$35 | +34% |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22? | May 15 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $101 | +$4 | +4% |